Statball

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Miami Marlins
3
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
2
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789212
Marlins · 10 H, 0 ECubs · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Carson Kelly grounds into a double play, shortstop Otto Lopez to second baseman Jared Serna to first baseman Kyle Stowers. Pedro Ramírez out at 2nd. Carson Kelly out at 1st.
bot 9Dansby Swanson flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
bot 9Pedro Ramírez singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Pitcher Colin Rea picks off Jared Serna at 1st on throw to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Joe Mack flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Jared Serna singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
top 9Agustín Ramírez flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8Nico Hoerner lines out to right fielder Griffin Conine.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Griffin Conine 2-4 · Javier Sanoja 2-4
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 2-4 · Michael Conforto 1-4 · Ian Happ 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.