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Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 9 H, 0 ECubs · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Carson Kelly grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr.
bot 9Pedro Ramírez grounds out, pitcher Mason Montgomery to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr.
bot 9Matt Shaw flies out to right fielder Billy Cook.
top 9Bryan Reynolds strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Konnor Griffin grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Henry Davis grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Nico Hoerner grounds out, shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr.
bot 8Ian Happ lines out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-4, 1 RBI · Jake Mangum 2-3 · Brandon Lowe 1-2, 2 RBI
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Amaya 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Busch 2-4 · Alex Bregman 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.