Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
5
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
17
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789221331343
Reds · 7 H, 1 ECubs · 19 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ivan Johnson strikes out swinging.
top 9Héctor Rodríguez walks.
top 9Matt McLain grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9TJ Friedl grounds out, shortstop Gabriel Arias to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Michael Busch flies out to center fielder TJ Friedl.
bot 8Alex Bregman doubles (26) on a fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki homers (23) on a fly ball to left field. Carson Kelly scores.5–17
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, second baseman Ivan Johnson to first baseman Sal Stewart. Carson Kelly to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · TJ Friedl 2-4
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 4-6, 3 HR, 6 RBI · Alex Bregman 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.