Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
10
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
8
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 13 H, 0 ECubs · 13 H, 2 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nico Hoerner flies out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
bot 9Alex Bregman flies out to left fielder TJ Friedl.
top 9Dane Myers grounds out, shortstop Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9TJ Friedl homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.10–8
top 9Jose Trevino strikes out swinging.
top 9Matt McLain strikes out swinging.
bot 8Michael Busch grounds out softly, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki doubles (28) on a line drive to left fielder TJ Friedl. Matt Shaw scores.9–8

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jose Trevino 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pedro Ramírez 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Busch 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 3-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.