Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
11
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
4
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892162211
Cardinals · 13 H, 0 ECubs · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Seiya Suzuki grounds out, third baseman Blaze Jordan to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong called out on strikes.
bot 9Miguel Amaya homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.114
top 9Blaze Jordan pops out to first baseman Pedro Ramírez in foul territory.
top 9Jimmy Crooks singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
top 9Masyn Winn flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 9Nathan Church flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 8James Triantos pops out softly to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Alec Burleson 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-4, 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Miguel Amaya 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.