Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
0
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
3
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893
Cardinals · 3 H, 0 ECubs · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nathan Church lines out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
top 9Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.
top 9Alec Burleson grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to third baseman Alex Bregman. Iván Herrera out at 2nd. Alec Burleson to 1st.
top 9Iván Herrera singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 8Nico Hoerner grounds into a force out, shortstop Masyn Winn to second baseman JJ Wetherholt. Michael Busch out at 2nd.
bot 8Michael Busch walks.
bot 8Alex Bregman flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki doubles (22) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Torres 1-3 · José Fermín 1-2 · Iván Herrera 1-4
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Busch 1-3 · Carson Kelly 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.