Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
8
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
4
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789313131
Cardinals · 7 H, 1 ECubs · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tyrone Taylor grounds out, third baseman Blaze Jordan to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 9Pedro Ramírez flies out to center fielder Everson Pereira.
bot 9Nico Hoerner grounds out, first baseman Alec Burleson to pitcher Riley O'Brien.
top 9Iván Herrera grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Colin Rea.
top 9JJ Wetherholt grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch. Everson Pereira to 2nd.
top 9Pedro Pagés strikes out swinging.
top 9Everson Pereira singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8Ian Happ flies out to center fielder Everson Pereira.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joshua Báez 3-4, 3 HR, 5 RBI · Blaze Jordan 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 2-4 · Tyrone Taylor 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.