Statball

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New York Yankees
2
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921
Yankees · 5 H, 0 ECubs · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Michael Conforto called out on strikes.
bot 9Dansby Swanson grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 9Pedro Ramírez walks.
bot 9Nico Hoerner flies out to left fielder Spencer Jones.
top 9Ryan McMahon pops out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. grounds out, pitcher Aaron Civale to first baseman Carson Kelly.
top 9Jasson Domínguez pops out to catcher Miguel Amaya in foul territory.
bot 8Ian Happ flies out to left fielder Spencer Jones.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
José Caballero 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Amed Rosario 1-4 · Ryan McMahon 1-4
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 2-4 · Michael Busch 1-3, 1 RBI · Nico Hoerner 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.