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Detroit Tigers
5
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
1
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891311
Tigers · 9 H, 1 ECubs · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nico Hoerner grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 9Alex Bregman pops out to third baseman Kevin McGonigle.
bot 9Michael Busch called out on strikes.
top 9James Outman strikes out swinging.
top 9Hao-Yu Lee lines out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 9Zach McKinstry doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Spencer Torkelson scores.51
top 9Kerry Carpenter lines out sharply to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Spencer Torkelson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Torkelson 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Hao-Yu Lee 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Zach McKinstry 1-4, 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 2-3 · Michael Busch 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.