Statball

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New York Yankees
2
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
0
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911
Yankees · 4 H, 0 ECubs · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alex Bregman grounds out, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Michael Busch flies out to left fielder Spencer Jones.
bot 9Pedro Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jasson Domínguez.
bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out to left fielder Spencer Jones.
top 9Trent Grisham grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Jasson Domínguez out at 2nd. Trent Grisham out at 1st.
top 9Jasson Domínguez walks.
top 9Ryan McMahon grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Miguel Amaya strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Jones 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Amed Rosario 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Caballero 1-3
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pedro Ramírez 2-4 · Ian Happ 1-3 · Alex Bregman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.