Statball

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Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
11
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678926122
Tigers · 7 H, 0 ECubs · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Zach McKinstry flies out to center fielder Justin Dean.
top 9Jake Rogers walks. Ben Malgeri to 2nd.
top 9Ben Malgeri grounds into a force out, third baseman Alex Bregman to second baseman Pedro Ramírez. Spencer Torkelson to 3rd. Matt Vierling out at 2nd. Ben Malgeri to 1st.
top 9Matt Vierling singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Spencer Torkelson to 2nd.
top 9Spencer Torkelson walks.
top 9James Outman grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Aaron Civale.
top 9Dillon Dingler homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field. Hao-Yu Lee scores.211
top 9Hao-Yu Lee singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Dean.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Matt Vierling 2-4 · Hao-Yu Lee 1-4
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-2, 2 RBI · Dansby Swanson 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.