Statball

← All live games · Wrigley Field

Minnesota Twins
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
10
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912143
Twins · 8 H, 1 ECubs · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ryan Kreidler pops out to first baseman Michael Busch in foul territory.
top 9Brooks Lee grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Luke Keaschall to 2nd.
top 9Luke Keaschall walks.
top 9Alan Roden flies out sharply to right fielder Michael Conforto.
bot 8Nico Hoerner grounds into a force out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to second baseman Royce Lewis. Alex Bregman out at 2nd.
bot 8Kevin Alcántara strikes out swinging.
bot 8Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ryan Kreidler. Justin Dean to 3rd. Michael Busch to 2nd.
bot 8Michael Busch singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Justin Dean to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Caratini 1-4 · Brooks Lee 1-4 · Austin Martin 1-4
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Busch 3-5, 1 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.