Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
4
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893124
Cardinals · 7 H, 2 ECubs · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nelson Velázquez lines out sharply to shortstop Dansby Swanson.
top 9José Fermín strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathan Church pops out to catcher Carson Kelly in foul territory.
top 9Masyn Winn walks.
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging, catcher Iván Herrera to first baseman Alec Burleson.
bot 8Pedro Ramírez flies out to right fielder Jordan Walker.
bot 8Dansby Swanson pops out to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 8Lars Nootbaar grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 1-2, 1 HR, 4 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-4 · Alec Burleson 2-4
Chicago Cubs
15 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-4 · Alex Bregman 1-4, 1 RBI · Michael Busch 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.