Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
3
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
0
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Cardinals · 8 H, 0 ECubs · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pedro Ramírez grounds into a double play, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson. Michael Conforto out at 2nd. Pedro Ramírez out at 1st.
bot 9Michael Conforto walks.
bot 9Nico Hoerner called out on strikes.
top 9JJ Wetherholt strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Nathan Church pops out to third baseman Alex Bregman.
top 9Pedro Pagés grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Ian Happ called out on strikes.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 2-4, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 1-3
Chicago Cubs
15 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 2-3 · Ian Happ 1-4 · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.