Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
16
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911745
Jays · 5 H, 2 ECubs · 18 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alejandro Kirk strikes out swinging.
top 9Yohendrick Piñango strikes out swinging.
top 9Jesús Sánchez lines out to shortstop Dansby Swanson.
bot 8Justin Dean grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Kazuma Okamoto. Nico Hoerner out at 3rd.
bot 8Dansby Swanson flies out to right fielder Jesús Sánchez.
bot 8Carson Kelly walks. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.
bot 8Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez.
top 8Charles McAdoo pops out to second baseman Nico Hoerner in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
George Springer 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Andrés Giménez 1-3 · Davis Schneider 1-3
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Kelly 2-4, 1 HR, 6 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 3-3, 1 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 3-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.