Statball

← All live games · Wrigley Field

Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
3
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678910111121
Jays · 11 H, 1 ECubs · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Pete Crow-Armstrong steals (29) 3rd base. Seiya Suzuki steals (2) 2nd base. Throwing error by catcher Brandon Valenzuela.23
bot 11Brendon Little intentionally walks Seiya Suzuki.
bot 11Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a ground ball to center fielder Myles Straw. Carson Kelly out at home on the throw, center fielder Myles Straw to catcher Brandon Valenzuela. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.
top 11Myles Straw grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 11Trent Thornton intentionally walks Andrés Giménez.
top 11Jesús Sánchez grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Ernie Clement to 3rd.
top 11Josh Smith strikes out swinging.
bot 10Carson Kelly lines out to second baseman Ernie Clement.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alejandro Kirk 4-5, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 3-4 · Ernie Clement 2-5
Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-5 · Miguel Amaya 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.