Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
8
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
6
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678935321
Jays · 9 H, 2 ECubs · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pedro Ramírez grounds out, second baseman Davis Schneider to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Ian Happ reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Louis Varland.
bot 9Alex Bregman pops out to second baseman Davis Schneider.
top 9George Springer flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Myles Straw pops out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
top 9Ernie Clement lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 8Michael Busch flies out to left fielder Myles Straw in foul territory.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Daulton Varsho 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Kazuma Okamoto 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-4, 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Matt Shaw 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dansby Swanson 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.