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Colorado Rockies
6
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
8
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789113171
Rockies · 9 H, 0 ECubs · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tyler Freeman grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Jake McCarthy flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Kyle Karros homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.68
top 9Sterlin Thompson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
bot 8Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to second baseman Willi Castro. Matt Shaw to 3rd. Carson Kelly out at 2nd. Dansby Swanson to 1st.
bot 8Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to third baseman Kyle Karros. Matt Shaw to 2nd.
bot 8Matt Shaw singles on a bunt ground ball to third baseman Kyle Karros.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Sterlin Thompson 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Karros 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Hunter Goodman 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dansby Swanson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.