Statball

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San Francisco Giants
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
3
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891011111
Giants · 5 H, 1 ECubs · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to right fielder Victor Bericoto. Dansby Swanson scores. Fielding error by right fielder Victor Bericoto.23
top 10Luis Arraez grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Pedro Ramírez. Buddy Kennedy out at 2nd.
top 10Rafael Devers called out on strikes.
top 10Buddy Kennedy walks.
top 10Victor Bericoto called out on strikes.
bot 9Moisés Ballesteros strikes out swinging.
bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.22
bot 9Carson Kelly lines out to shortstop Willy Adames.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jung Hoo Lee 2-4 · Luis Arraez 1-5
Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 4-5, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Busch 2-4 · Pedro Ramírez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.