Statball

← All live games · Wrigley Field

San Francisco Giants
2
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
1
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678910111
Giants · 4 H, 1 ECubs · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Alex Bregman pops out to shortstop Willy Adames.
bot 10Michael Busch pops out to shortstop Willy Adames.
bot 10Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.
top 10Casey Schmitt grounds into a double play, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch. Drew Gilbert out at 2nd. Casey Schmitt out at 1st.
top 10Drew Gilbert walks. Matt Chapman to 2nd.
top 10Daniel Susac flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 10Matt Chapman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jonah Cox scores.21
bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out to first baseman Rafael Devers.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Chapman 2-3, 1 RBI · Jung Hoo Lee 1-4, 1 RBI · Luis Arraez 1-4
Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 50 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 1-4 · Michael Busch 1-5 · Carson Kelly 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.