Statball

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San Francisco Giants
18
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892617212
Giants · 19 H, 0 ECubs · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alex Bregman grounds out, third baseman Buddy Kennedy to first baseman Victor Bericoto.
bot 9Kevin Alcántara strikes out swinging.
bot 9Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.
top 9Victor Bericoto grounds out, pitcher Carson Kelly to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Luis Arraez pops out to third baseman Alex Bregman.
top 9Eric Haase pops out to catcher Miguel Amaya in foul territory.
top 9Casey Schmitt homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.183
top 9Jonah Cox homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.173

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 4-6, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Matt Chapman 2-3, 2 HR, 8 RBI · Willy Adames 2-2, 2 HR, 4 RBI
Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 2-2 · Carson Kelly 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.