Statball

← All live games · Wrigley Field

Houston Astros
3
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
0
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921
Astros · 6 H, 0 ECubs · 3 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Michael Busch lines out to left fielder Brice Matthews.
bot 9Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers.
bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
bot 9Dansby Swanson grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9With César Salazar batting, Brice Matthews picked off and caught stealing 2nd base, shortstop Dansby Swanson.
top 9Brice Matthews singles on a ground ball to pitcher Ryan Rolison.
top 9Zach Cole called out on strikes.
top 9Cam Smith grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Ryan Rolison.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
13 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Walker 3-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-3 · Cam Smith 1-4
Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 1-4 · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-4 · Dansby Swanson 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.