Statball

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Houston Astros
8
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
5
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 9 H, 0 ECubs · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alex Bregman flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9Michael Busch lines out to second baseman Nick Allen.
bot 9Nico Hoerner lines out to shortstop Jeremy Peña.
top 9Brice Matthews called out on strikes.
top 9Nick Allen singles on a fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Cam Smith scores.85
top 9Christian Vázquez grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch. Cam Smith to 3rd.
top 9Braden Shewmake out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Caleb Thielbar to first baseman Michael Busch. Cam Smith to 2nd.
top 9Cam Smith walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
13 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Allen 3-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Meyers 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Walker 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carson Kelly 2-4 · Alex Bregman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.