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Houston Astros
4
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
2
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891212
Astros · 9 H, 2 ECubs · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ian Happ pops out to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 9Alex Bregman flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
bot 9Michael Busch flies out to left fielder Zach Cole.
top 9Christian Walker strikes out swinging.
top 9Yordan Alvarez walks. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.
top 9Isaac Paredes walks.
top 9Jeremy Peña lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
top 9Christian Vázquez grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
13 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Vázquez 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-4 · Cam Smith 1-4
Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 1-5 · Alex Bregman 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.