Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
3
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
8
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 9 H, 0 ECubs · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Blake Dunn walks.
top 9JJ Bleday doubles (2) on a fly ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Sal Stewart scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd.38
top 9Tyler Stephenson walks. Sal Stewart to 2nd.
top 9Spencer Steer flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 9Sal Stewart walks.
top 9Elly De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
bot 8Moisés Ballesteros grounds out, first baseman Spencer Steer to pitcher Jose Franco.
bot 8Nico Hoerner flies out to left fielder JJ Bleday.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Blake Dunn 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ke'Bryan Hayes 2-4
Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Conforto 3-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Busch 1-4 · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.