Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
3
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891011111
Reds · 6 H, 1 ECubs · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Dansby Swanson scores.23
top 10Elly De La Cruz grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 10Dane Myers walks.
top 10TJ Friedl strikes out swinging.
top 10Ke'Bryan Hayes called out on strikes.
bot 9Dansby Swanson flies out to right fielder Spencer Steer.
bot 9Seiya Suzuki pops out to second baseman Matt McLain on the infield fly rule.
bot 9Ian Happ walks. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Nathaniel Lowe 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Bleday 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-4, 1 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.