Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
6
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
7
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 10 H, 0 ECubs · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Michael Busch walks. Nico Hoerner scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.67
bot 10Brock Burke intentionally walks Seiya Suzuki. Alex Bregman to 2nd.
bot 10Ian Happ strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 10Brock Burke intentionally walks Alex Bregman.
bot 10Miguel Amaya out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Brock Burke to second baseman Matt McLain. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.
top 10Will Benson grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 10Spencer Steer grounds into a double play, third baseman Alex Bregman to second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 3rd. Blake Dunn out at 2nd. Spencer Steer out at 1st.
top 10Nathaniel Lowe walks.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Matt McLain 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Steer 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Will Benson 2-4
Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.