Statball

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Cincinnati Reds
4
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
5
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 10 H, 0 ECubs · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Michael Conforto homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.45
bot 9Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder JJ Bleday. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.44
bot 9Dansby Swanson strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Dane Myers.
top 9Elly De La Cruz called out on strikes.
top 9JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.
top 9Dane Myers called out on strikes.
bot 8Carson Kelly strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 3-4 · Ke'Bryan Hayes 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · JJ Bleday 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.