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Arizona Diamondbacks
5
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 11 H, 0 ECubs · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.
top 9Ketel Marte grounds into a force out, second baseman Matt Shaw to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Ildemaro Vargas out at 2nd. Ketel Marte to 1st.
top 9Corbin Carroll strikes out swinging.
top 9Ildemaro Vargas walks.
bot 8Dansby Swanson grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Jose Fernandez.
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Jose Fernandez.
bot 8Carson Kelly pops out to first baseman Jose Fernandez in foul territory.
top 8Geraldo Perdomo strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Ildemaro Vargas 4-4, 1 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jorge Barrosa 2-4, 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 2-4, 2 RBI · Carson Kelly 2-4, 1 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.