Statball

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Arizona Diamondbacks
4
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
8
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 7 H, 0 ECubs · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ketel Marte strikes out swinging.
top 9Adrian Del Castillo homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.48
top 9Jose Fernandez pops out to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.
top 9Lourdes Gurriel Jr. walks.
bot 8Michael Busch called out on strikes.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ian Happ singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ketel Marte. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Alex Bregman to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Adrian Del Castillo 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gabriel Moreno 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 2-3
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Moisés Ballesteros 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Busch 2-3, 4 RBI · Carson Kelly 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.