Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
7
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 9 H, 1 ECubs · 13 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Justin Crawford strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Bryson Stott flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 9Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 8Alex Bregman pops out to first baseman Felix Reyes.
bot 8Nico Hoerner strikes out swinging.
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a fly ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Moisés Ballesteros scores.27
bot 8Miguel Amaya grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Felix Reyes. Moisés Ballesteros to 3rd.
bot 8Moisés Ballesteros doubles (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Edmundo Sosa 2-2, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4 · Justin Crawford 1-4, 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 3-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.