Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
7
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
8
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 8 H, 0 ECubs · 18 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Dansby Swanson singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Carson Kelly to 2nd.78
bot 10Carson Kelly singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Ian Happ to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.
bot 10Tanner Banks intentionally walks Seiya Suzuki.
top 10Justin Crawford grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 10Alec Bohm grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Brandon Marsh to 3rd.
top 10Edmundo Sosa pops out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
bot 9Ian Happ flies out to right fielder Adolis García.
bot 9José Alvarado intentionally walks Alex Bregman.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
6 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 57 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 3-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Adolis García 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-4
Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 2-6, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Busch 2-6, 1 HR, 4 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.