Statball

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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
2
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 6 H, 0 ECubs · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.12
bot 10Dansby Swanson strikes out on a foul tip.
top 10Luis Torrens strikes out swinging.
top 10Marcus Semien singles on a ground ball to second baseman Nico Hoerner. MJ Melendez to 3rd.
top 10Tyrone Taylor flies out to left fielder Michael Conforto.
top 10Mark Vientos pops out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging, catcher Luis Torrens to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 9Carson Kelly strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
MJ Melendez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Marcus Semien 2-3 · Luis Torrens 1-4
Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 2-3 · Michael Conforto 1-1, 1 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.