Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
5
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789141
Phillies · 6 H, 0 ECubs · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kyle Schwarber pops out to catcher Miguel Amaya in foul territory.
top 9Trea Turner lines out to right fielder Matt Shaw.
top 9Rafael Marchán pops out to third baseman Alex Bregman.
top 9Justin Crawford walks.
bot 8Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong pops out to catcher Rafael Marchán in foul territory.
bot 8Miguel Amaya strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Matt Shaw singles on a fly ball to center fielder Justin Crawford. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
5 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Marsh 1-4 · Justin Crawford 1-2, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-3
Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Dansby Swanson 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-4 · Ian Happ 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.