Statball

← All live games · Wrigley Field

New York Mets
4
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
12
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893142132
Mets · 14 H, 2 ECubs · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Bo Bichette grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Tyrone Taylor out at 2nd. Bo Bichette out at 1st.
top 9Tommy Pham lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
top 9Tyrone Taylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 8Matt Shaw flies out to left fielder Tyrone Taylor.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki flies out to right fielder Carson Benge.
bot 8Ian Happ homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Michael Busch scores.412
bot 8Alex Bregman grounds out, third baseman Bo Bichette to first baseman Mark Vientos. Michael Busch to 2nd.
bot 8Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to right fielder Carson Benge.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 2-3, 2 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 2-3, 1 RBI · Marcus Semien 2-4, 1 RBI
Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Nico Hoerner 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Moisés Ballesteros 2-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ian Happ 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.