Statball

← All live games · Wrigley Field

New York Mets
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
4
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891113
Mets · 7 H, 0 ECubs · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tyrone Taylor flies out to shortstop Dansby Swanson.
top 9Marcus Semien strikes out swinging.
top 9Tommy Pham strikes out swinging.
bot 8Seiya Suzuki flies out to right fielder Brett Baty.
bot 8Ian Happ walks.
bot 8Alex Bregman grounds into a double play, second baseman Marcus Semien to shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Mark Vientos. Michael Busch out at 2nd. Alex Bregman out at 1st.
bot 8Michael Busch singles on a fly ball to right fielder Brett Baty.
top 8Mark Vientos grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Mark Vientos 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Francisco Lindor 2-4 · Luis Robert Jr. 2-4
Chicago Cubs
11 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Kelly 1-1, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Busch 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.