Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
0
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Pirates · 3 H, 0 ECubs · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Michael Busch strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nico Hoerner pops out to third baseman Nick Yorke.
bot 9Dansby Swanson strikes out swinging.
top 9Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn flies out to left fielder Ian Happ.
bot 8Matt Shaw flies out to right fielder Billy Cook.
bot 8Carson Kelly walks. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-2 · Ryan O'Hearn 1-4
Chicago Cubs
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 2-3 · Alex Bregman 1-4 · Carson Kelly 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.