Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
7
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 7 H, 1 ECubs · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Carson Kelly singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Scott Kingery scores. Ian Happ to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.67
bot 9Seiya Suzuki walks. Ian Happ to 2nd.
bot 9Ian Happ grounds into a force out, first baseman Ryan O'Hearn to shortstop Konnor Griffin. Scott Kingery to 3rd. Alex Bregman out at 2nd. Ian Happ to 1st.
bot 9Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to shortstop Konnor Griffin.
bot 9Michael Conforto doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Billy Cook.
top 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Oneil Cruz walks.
top 9Joey Bart grounds out softly, pitcher Daniel Palencia to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 2-4
Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Moisés Ballesteros 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dansby Swanson 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Carson Kelly 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.