Statball

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Washington Nationals
6
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 11 H, 2 ECubs · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Moisés Ballesteros grounds out, pitcher Clayton Beeter to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 9Carson Kelly grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 9Nico Hoerner lines out sharply to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9Daylen Lile doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Luis García Jr. out at home on the throw, center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong to shortstop Dansby Swanson to catcher Carson Kelly.
top 9Brady House strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to right fielder Michael Conforto.
top 9James Wood flies out sharply to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Wiemer 3-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Keibert Ruiz 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brady House 2-5
Chicago Cubs
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nico Hoerner 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.