Statball

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Washington Nationals
2
0% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
10
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 4 H, 1 ECubs · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brady House grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Daylen Lile out at 2nd. Brady House out at 1st.
top 9Daylen Lile walks. Drew Millas to 2nd.
top 9Luis García Jr. flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 9Drew Millas walks.
bot 8Nico Hoerner flies out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 8Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
bot 8Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
top 8James Wood pops out to third baseman Alex Bregman in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 1-3, 1 RBI · Daylen Lile 1-3
Chicago Cubs
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Amaya 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.