Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912121
Cubs · 7 H, 1 ESox · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong flies out sharply to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
top 9Miguel Amaya strikes out swinging.
bot 8Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out, third baseman Matt Shaw to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Andruw Monasterio singles on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Jarren Duran to 3rd.
bot 8Jarren Duran walks.
bot 8Nick Sogard pops out to third baseman Matt Shaw in foul territory.
bot 8Caleb Durbin grounds out, third baseman Matt Shaw to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 2-3 · Matt Shaw 2-4 · Tyrone Taylor 1-3, 1 RBI
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 3-3 · Adley Rutschman 2-4, 2 RBI · Connor Wong 1-1, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.