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Washington Nationals
10
100% — our call
Final
Chicago Cubs
4
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityChicago Cubs
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Cubs in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 11 H, 2 ECubs · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Cubs win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Cubs win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ian Happ flies out sharply to left fielder James Wood.
bot 9Alex Bregman strikes out swinging.
top 9Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.
top 9Brady House homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Luis García Jr. scores.104
top 9Luis García Jr. grounds into a force out, pitcher Jacob Webb to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Jacob Young out at 2nd. Luis García Jr. to 1st.
top 9James Wood strikes out swinging.
top 9Jacob Young reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Alex Bregman.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Wiemer 3-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brady House 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jacob Young 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Chicago Cubs
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 3-4, 1 RBI · Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-5, 2 RBI · Ian Happ 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.