Statball

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Chicago Cubs
6
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 13 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Caleb Durbin flies out to right fielder Michael Conforto.
bot 9Nick Sogard grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Gabriel Arias.
bot 9Nate Eaton strikes out swinging.
top 9Pedro Ramírez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Michael Conforto out at home on the throw, right fielder Wilyer Abreu to catcher Connor Wong. Matt Shaw to 2nd.
top 9Matt Shaw walks.
top 9Michael Conforto doubles (17) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Alex Bregman scores.6–2
top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
top 9Gabriel Arias out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarren Duran. Tyrone Taylor scores.5–2

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alex Bregman 4-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Michael Conforto 2-5, 1 RBI · Tyrone Taylor 2-4
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Caleb Durbin 1-4 · Nate Eaton 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.