Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Chicago Cubs
0
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Cubs · 7 H, 0 ESox · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nico Hoerner grounds out, third baseman Andruw Monasterio to first baseman Nick Sogard.
top 9Ian Happ called out on strikes.
top 9Michael Conforto pops out to shortstop Trevor Story.
bot 8Nick Sogard grounds out, second baseman Pedro Ramírez to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Trevor Story walks.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu doubles (38) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Jahmai Jones scores.0–2
bot 8Jahmai Jones walks. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 2nd.
bot 8Isiah Kiner-Falefa walks.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 2-4 · Seiya Suzuki 2-3 · Nico Hoerner 2-4
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 1-3 · Wilyer Abreu 1-4, 2 RBI · Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.