Statball

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Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 5 H, 2 ESox · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Bobby Witt Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out swinging.
top 9Tyler Tolbert strikes out swinging.
top 9John Rave walks. Isaac Collins to 2nd.
top 9Isaac Collins walks.
bot 8Jarren Duran flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 8Caleb Durbin hit by pitch. Trevor Story to 2nd.
bot 8Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Willson Contreras scores. Adley Rutschman scores.1–4

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-2, 1 RBI · Tyler Tolbert 1-4 · Michael Massey 1-4
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Caleb Durbin 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Willson Contreras 2-3 · Trevor Story 2-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.