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Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 5 H, 0 ESox · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Isaac Collins grounds out, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Nick Sogard.
top 9Nick Loftin grounds out, pitcher Aroldis Chapman to first baseman Nick Sogard.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino grounds into a force out, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to shortstop Trevor Story. Salvador Perez out at 2nd. Vinnie Pasquantino advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by shortstop Trevor Story.
top 9Salvador Perez walks.
bot 8Jarren Duran grounds out, first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino to pitcher Easton McGee.
bot 8Nick Sogard doubles (13) on a line drive to center fielder John Rave. Trevor Story scores.1–5
bot 8Trevor Story doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Matthew Lugo.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu lines out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carter Jensen 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Salvador Perez 1-3 · Michael Massey 1-3
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 2-4 · Adley Rutschman 2-4, 1 RBI · Nick Sogard 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.