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Seattle Mariners
9
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
6
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 14 H, 1 ESox · 11 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out, second baseman Cole Young to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.
bot 9Eli White lines out to pitcher Hoby Milner.
bot 9Jahmai Jones homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Roman Anthony scores.9–6
bot 9Roman Anthony singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9Victor Robles grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Mickey Gasper.
top 9Brock Rodden singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Cole Young to 2nd.
top 9J.P. Crawford flies out to center fielder Eli White.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lazaro Montes 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dominic Canzone 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jahmai Jones 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Mickey Gasper 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Roman Anthony 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.