Statball

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Seattle Mariners
8
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
3
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567894412
Mariners · 12 H, 0 ESox · 12 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mickey Gasper strikes out swinging.
bot 9Roman Anthony grounds out, third baseman Weston Wilson to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Connor Wong grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
top 9Weston Wilson called out on strikes.
top 9Cole Young grounds out, first baseman Mickey Gasper to pitcher Raymond Burgos.
top 9Taylor Ward strikes out swinging.
bot 8Trevor Story grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Jarren Duran lines out to right fielder Taylor Ward.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
J.P. Crawford 3-3 · Weston Wilson 2-4 · Jhonny Pereda 2-3, 2 RBI
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 3-4 · Mickey Gasper 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.