Statball

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Seattle Mariners
8
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
9
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 11 H, 0 ESox · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Trevor Story singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Eli White scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd. Jarren Duran to 2nd.8–9
bot 10Cooper Criswell intentionally walks Jarren Duran. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.
bot 10Cooper Criswell intentionally walks Caleb Durbin.
bot 10Nick Sogard out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher Cal Raleigh to first baseman Josh Naylor. Eli White to 3rd.
top 10Weston Wilson strikes out swinging.
top 10Cole Young strikes out on a foul tip.
top 10Victor Robles out on a sacrifice bunt, pitcher Aroldis Chapman to second baseman Nick Sogard. Josh Naylor to 3rd.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 4-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Cal Raleigh 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Dominic Canzone 2-5, 2 RBI
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Gasper 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jarren Duran 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Roman Anthony 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.