Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
11
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 4 H, 2 ESox · 16 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tim Tawa grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Nick Sogard.
top 9Jordan Lawlar strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9James McCann strikes out swinging.
bot 8Mickey Gasper lines out to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.
bot 8Andruw Monasterio flies out to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.
bot 8Caleb Durbin grounds into a force out, shortstop Jose Fernandez to second baseman Jordan Lawlar. Adley Rutschman out at 2nd. Caleb Durbin to 1st.
bot 8Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.
top 8Gabriel Moreno grounds out, shortstop Andruw Monasterio to first baseman Nick Sogard.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tim Tawa 2-4 · Jose Fernandez 1-3 · Gabriel Moreno 1-4
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Mickey Gasper 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Caleb Durbin 3-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.